Pheu Thai Party Holds the Key to Parliament Dissolution Decision

Bangkok: Mr. Thepthai Senapong, former MP for Nakhon Si Thammarat, has highlighted that the dissolution of parliament hinges entirely on the Pheu Thai Party's decision. According to his Facebook post, the party will be instrumental in determining the fate of the current government.

According to Thai News Agency, the recent Cabinet meeting approved a proposal for a royal decree to convene a special session of the House of Representatives from December 10-11, 2025. This session is intended to deliberate on the draft amendment to the Constitution, which precedes the regular session set to begin on December 12, 2025. The special session aims to address the People's Party's demand for constitutional amendments in line with the Memorandum of Agreement (MOA).

Once the extraordinary session opens and the draft amendment undergoes its second reading, a 15-day interval will follow before a third reading is voted on, around December 26, 2025. At this point, the Pheu Thai Party has the option to file a no-confidence motion against the government, as outlined in Section 151. The government anticipates that the Pheu Thai Party will do so, although it is noted that a Section 152 motion might not be pursued by the party.

Should a no-confidence debate arise, the dynamics between Pheu Thai and the Bhumjaithai Party remain uncertain. The Pheu Thai Party's two-year governmental record carries more vulnerabilities than the relatively new Bhumjaithai Party government. Thus, Pheu Thai may opt to bypass a Section 152 motion.

Mr. Anutin, a prominent leader, has declared his intention to dissolve Parliament should a no-confidence motion be submitted under Section 151. The minority status of the government would likely result in a lost vote, despite the quality of any debate. Consequently, the Pheu Thai Party's strategic decisions will directly influence the timing of the parliamentary dissolution. If the party wishes for a swift resolution, it could submit a no-confidence motion on December 12, promptly leading to Parliament's dissolution.

In contrast, reports suggest that Mr. Natthaphong Ruangpanyawut of the Prachachon Party has engaged with Pheu Thai leader Mr. Chulphan Amornvivat, seeking the passage of the constitutional amendment's third reading before a no-confidence motion. This scenario might result in a New Year period dissolution, returning power to the populace as a symbolic gesture for the New Year.

Ultimately, the decision to dissolve parliament rests solely with the Pheu Thai Party.